Muri-Gümligen vs Lyss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
21.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
8º
14º
11º
32
4º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muri-Gümligen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCB
4 - 0
GUM
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GUM
1 - 1
FCA
59%
20%
22%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
GUM
4 - 1
BBB
24%
21%
56%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +4 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 1
GUM
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GUM
0 - 4
OLD
30%
20%
50%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Lyss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LYS
1 - 1
DOR
42%
21%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BIN
1 - 2
LYS
55%
21%
25%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
LYS
3 - 2
SEC
14%
20%
65%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +7 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
BUL
2 - 2
LYS
86%
11%
4%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LYS
1 - 2
GRU
60%
19%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |