Marmande 47 vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marmande 47
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TOU
0 - 4
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
MON
26%
22%
53%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +3 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 2
MAR
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LIM
0 - 1
MAR
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
AUR
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 1
MON
25%
24%
52%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 0
LIM
44%
26%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LEG
3 - 3
BLA
59%
21%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 1
LES
40%
26%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PAU
5 - 1
BLA
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |