FC Malley vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Malley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
MEY
1 - 1
FCM
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
FCM
3 - 2
CSC
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
DUD
0 - 0
FCM
18%
22%
61%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FCM
2 - 1
ECH
75%
15%
9%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BAV
3 - 1
FCM
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ETO
2 - 2
BAU
78%
15%
8%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
SIO
2 - 5
ETO
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ETO
4 - 0
FRI
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
YOU
4 - 1
ETO
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
MEY
3 - 1
ETO
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |