Lutry vs Servette II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
54.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 2
FCL
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FCL
2 - 0
FCR
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
FCL
24%
23%
54%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FCL
3 - 0
PER
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
FCL
65%
19%
17%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Servette II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SER
3 - 2
STA
58%
21%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
USC
0 - 1
SER
16%
20%
65%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CSC
1 - 1
SER
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
SER
4 - 2
SBC
77%
15%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SER
4 - 1
CHI
85%
10%
4%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | +1 |