Lutry vs Renens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
FCL
24%
23%
54%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FCL
3 - 0
PER
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
FCL
65%
19%
17%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 1
VER
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
STA
2 - 0
FCL
73%
16%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Renens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FCR
0 - 0
STA
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
USC
0 - 1
FCR
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FCR
1 - 0
CSC
34%
23%
42%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 2
FCR
15%
21%
65%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FCR
2 - 3
FCA
21%
22%
57%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |