Lutry vs Chippis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCL
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FCL
2 - 2
SER
23%
23%
55%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 2
FCL
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FCL
2 - 0
FCR
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
FCL
24%
23%
54%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chippis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
CSC
4 - 2
CHI
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 6
STA
14%
20%
67%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
USC
1 - 1
CHI
69%
18%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 5
FCA
13%
19%
69%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 2
SBC
18%
22%
61%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +2 |