Lommiswil vs Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
81.6%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.3%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3994%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
13º
16º
14º
63
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lommiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ALL
2 - 2
FCL
89%
8%
4%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 2
STA
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OLD
3 - 0
FCU
80%
12%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DUD
1 - 2
OLD
13%
16%
71%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 1
OLD
22%
19%
59%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
OLD
2 - 1
DOR
73%
15%
12%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GUM
0 - 4
OLD
30%
20%
50%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +2 |