Avirons vs Saint-Pauloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avirons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
JEA
2 - 0
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
SRS
45%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 1
TAM
52%
25%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SDF
0 - 0
FCA
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 0
ASP
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Pauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
PAU
2 - 0
EXC
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 0
PAU
55%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PAU
2 - 0
SDF
44%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PIE
0 - 0
PAU
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PAU
0 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |