FC Kapaz vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
20.8%
70.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
18.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
10º
7º
90
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SEB
4 - 1
FCK
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 3
FKQ
8%
20%
72%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FKN
5 - 2
FCK
80%
15%
5%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 2
ZIR
11%
24%
65%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 0
SKF
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
QAR
4 - 0
SHA
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
VKP
2 - 1
QAR
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
QAR
0 - 0
VKP
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 2
QAR
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
FTC
1 - 3
QAR
60%
21%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |