FC Juárez vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MER
1 - 3
JUA
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
JUA
0 - 0
TAM
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
TIJ
3 - 1
JUA
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ZAC
1 - 1
JUA
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
JUA
3 - 0
DOR
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 2
LEO
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
40%
27%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
TOL
3 - 0
TIJ
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
TIG
1 - 2
TOL
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
TIJ
2 - 0
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |