Igea Virtus vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FCI
2 - 1
NFR
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
FCI
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
FCI
0 - 0
USC
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
DTO
0 - 2
FCI
16%
23%
61%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FCI
2 - 0
GRA
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 1
SAR
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 0
ASS
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 2
CAV
15%
22%
63%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NFR
0 - 0
SAR
84%
10%
6%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 1
ROC
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |