Igea Virtus vs Lamezia Terme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
65.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
5º
17º
11º
0
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 98 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 85 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 75 |
3º
|
88% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 69 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
|
19º
|
0 | 59 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 46 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 43 |
13º
|
65.5% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
74.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 31 |
16º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
17º
|
90.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 20 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 10 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 60.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 38% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ACI
1 - 0
FCI
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
REG
1 - 0
FCI
86%
12%
3%
|
31 | 72 | 41 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FCI
0 - 2
SAN
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 1
FCI
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FCI
1 - 2
CAN
25%
28%
47%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lamezia Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
LAT
4 - 1
CSA
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NGI
0 - 0
LAT
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
REG
3 - 0
LAT
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LAT
2 - 0
LIC
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
USV
1 - 1
LAT
30%
23%
47%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |