FC Honka vs IFK Mariehamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
11º
4º
15
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
92.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
INT
2 - 0
HON
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 1
HON
59%
22%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
HON
0 - 1
KOO
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 3
HON
33%
28%
40%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HON
0 - 1
KUO
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Mariehamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
OUL
3 - 2
IFK
53%
25%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 7
IFK
6%
13%
81%
|
59 | 14 | 45 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
IFK
0 - 0
HJK
18%
25%
58%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
INT
1 - 1
IFK
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
PPJ
0 - 3
IFK
10%
15%
75%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | +1 |