Groningen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
WIL
0 - 0
GRO
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
GRO
1 - 1
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
AZA
0 - 0
GRO
80%
13%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
GRO
2 - 2
HFC
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
RJC
5 - 1
GRO
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
EXC
2 - 0
NAC
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
HFC
0 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1982 |
EXC
0 - 3
AJA
12%
20%
68%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
GAE
2 - 1
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
EXC
1 - 0
FOR
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |