Viareggio vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
PAG
0 - 3
FCV
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NOC
1 - 0
FCV
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
FCV
1 - 1
FCC
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PIS
0 - 1
FCV
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FCV
2 - 1
BEN
17%
24%
59%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
SAL
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
PON
1 - 1
PAG
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 2
PON
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ASG
2 - 2
PON
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
SSB
2 - 2
PON
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |