Erzgebirge Aue vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VFR
3 - 0
ERZ
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
ERZ
0 - 3
ING
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
STP
0 - 0
ERZ
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
ERZ
0 - 1
DAR
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
F95
2 - 3
ERZ
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
SGF
0 - 3
MUN
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VFR
1 - 1
SGF
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
KAI
2 - 1
SGF
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
SGF
0 - 0
SVS
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
STP
0 - 1
SGF
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |