Crotone vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
FRO
1 - 1
CRO
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAD
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ABN
1 - 1
CRO
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
CRO
0 - 0
GRO
32%
26%
41%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 0
CRO
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 0
CES
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 1
VIC
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 0
TRI
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
CTT
2 - 1
VIC
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
VIC
2 - 2
GAL
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |