Crotone vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
41.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
CRO
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAT
35%
26%
40%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
EMP
0 - 0
CRO
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
CRO
0 - 2
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ARZ
3 - 0
CRO
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
TER
0 - 2
PRG
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 2
TER
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
CAT
2 - 0
TER
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
TER
3 - 0
TRI
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
TRE
3 - 1
TER
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |