Crotone vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 2
JUV
11%
20%
69%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 0
CRO
55%
24%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CRO
4 - 1
EMP
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 2
CRO
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 1
BOL
44%
28%
29%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
ROM
4 - 0
FIO
61%
20%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
ROM
2 - 1
CES
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SAM
3 - 2
ROM
18%
22%
60%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ROM
1 - 0
CAG
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
ROM
4 - 0
SAM
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |