Crotone vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
CRO
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 1
TER
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
CRO
35%
28%
38%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 0
BAR
51%
25%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
REG
1 - 4
CRO
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 2
TRA
28%
27%
46%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LAT
1 - 0
CAR
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
AVE
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CTT
1 - 0
CAR
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |