Crotone vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 1
CRO
49%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
BRE
3 - 0
CRO
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CRO
1 - 2
ASC
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NOC
0 - 2
CRO
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CRO
1 - 1
SAS
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
VAR
0 - 2
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
VAR
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
VER
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ASC
0 - 0
VAR
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 2
BRE
46%
28%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |