Crotone vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TRA
3 - 1
CRO
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 4
PES
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 0
CRO
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 0
VIC
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAT
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
CTT
0 - 1
ACD
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 2
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CTT
2 - 3
VIR
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 0
CTT
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
CTT
1 - 2
LEO
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |