Crotone vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
27.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PRG
0 - 0
CRO
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 1
NOV
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
CAG
4 - 0
CRO
70%
18%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
TER
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
FER
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
PES
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 3
SPE
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
BAR
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
MON
0 - 2
BAR
10%
19%
72%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |