FC Celano Marsica vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
FCC
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 3
GIU
41%
27%
32%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 0
FCC
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
FCC
61%
24%
15%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 2
GAV
42%
24%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LAQ
4 - 3
VIN
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FAN
0 - 1
LAQ
34%
26%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 1
LAQ
44%
25%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LAQ
1 - 2
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ACG
2 - 0
LAQ
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |