Catanzaro vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
53.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
5 - 4
FCC
58%
24%
18%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FCC
3 - 3
GIU
73%
19%
9%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FON
1 - 1
FCC
23%
26%
51%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
FCC
3 - 1
ARZ
63%
22%
16%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
VIG
49%
26%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SSB
0 - 3
PRG
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PIA
2 - 2
SSB
55%
25%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SSB
2 - 0
CAR
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SSB
0 - 1
SPE
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
USC
2 - 2
SSB
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |