Catanzaro vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
FCC
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
RPO
2 - 1
FCC
45%
27%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
FCC
2 - 1
FRA
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
RPO
1 - 1
FCC
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2020 |
FCC
0 - 0
TER
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
PAG
0 - 3
TER
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 1
PAG
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
USV
1 - 1
PAG
52%
25%
24%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PAG
0 - 0
TER
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
AVE
1 - 0
PAG
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |