Catanzaro vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
FCC
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FCC
3 - 0
FIA
30%
28%
43%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
FCC
40%
26%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 3
NUO
29%
29%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 0
FRA
53%
27%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
FIA
2 - 0
PAG
64%
22%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 1
CAS
28%
27%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAG
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
REG
0 - 1
PAG
42%
28%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 2
USV
60%
25%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |