Catanzaro vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
61.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FIA
1 - 1
FCC
60%
24%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 0
FRA
33%
29%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 1
FCC
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 1
FON
32%
28%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
FCC
63%
22%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 1
ASM
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
AKR
0 - 2
LEC
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 3
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 0
LEC
26%
27%
46%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 1
PAG
72%
19%
10%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |