Catanzaro vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
FCC
21%
27%
52%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 1
BEN
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
JUS
1 - 0
FCC
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
LRO
1 - 2
FCC
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 0
REG
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ASM
2 - 1
USF
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ISC
0 - 1
ASM
36%
28%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ASM
2 - 2
FCS
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
NUO
2 - 0
ASM
47%
27%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 1
MAT
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |