FC Castrense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FCB
1 - 1
FCC
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 1
LOU
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 2
FCC
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 0
ATL
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
FCC
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LOU
3 - 1
LUS
58%
23%
20%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 1
ATL
41%
25%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 1
LUS
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
FCB
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MOU
1 - 0
LUS
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |