Castiglione vs Sassari Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
54.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 0
FCC
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 2
FOR
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
FCC
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 1
SPA
16%
23%
61%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
USA
4 - 1
FCC
60%
23%
17%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sassari Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ASD
2 - 1
SAS
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SAS
0 - 3
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
REN
1 - 1
SAS
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SAS
2 - 1
DEL
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 1
SAS
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |