Burgum vs Winsum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
22.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
VVG
1 - 1
FCB
32%
21%
47%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FCB
1 - 3
ORA
22%
19%
58%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WHC
5 - 0
FCB
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FCB
2 - 4
ORA
28%
20%
52%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BAL
0 - 2
FCB
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Winsum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 4
DRA
38%
23%
40%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 4
PEL
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LEE
2 - 2
WIN
26%
22%
52%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WIN
6 - 2
ZMV
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ORA
0 - 0
WIN
79%
13%
9%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |