FC Balzers vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Balzers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 2
FCB
48%
22%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FCB
0 - 1
MEN
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 3
FCB
30%
22%
48%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ESC
2 - 1
FCB
50%
22%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FCB
4 - 0
DIE
44%
23%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 4
FCT
43%
26%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FCW
2 - 0
LUG
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 1
LUG
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 2
MEN
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TAV
2 - 1
LUG
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |