Atlas FC vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 1
ATS
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
ATS
1 - 2
PUM
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
TIJ
3 - 1
ATS
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
ATS
2 - 2
TIG
22%
28%
50%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
ATS
1 - 0
MAZ
40%
24%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
MAZ
2 - 1
TOL
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
TOL
3 - 2
AUR
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
MON
3 - 1
TOL
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
PUM
0 - 0
TOL
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |