Atlas FC vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
ATS
36%
29%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
ATS
2 - 1
QRO
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
ATS
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
ATS
0 - 3
UDG
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ATS
2 - 1
CAZ
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUE
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
TOL
3 - 1
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
QRO
1 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
PUM
1 - 2
TOL
41%
28%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 0
MON
50%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |