Atlas FC vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CAZ
3 - 1
ATS
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SNL
3 - 1
ATS
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
ATS
7 - 1
IND
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
3 - 0
ATS
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ATS
1 - 0
AME
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 0
IND
62%
23%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 0
TOL
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 1
AME
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
TOL
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |