Atlas FC vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
4 - 1
ATS
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
ATS
4 - 1
NEC
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MON
2 - 2
ATS
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 0
EST
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 1
ATS
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
JAG
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
PAC
3 - 1
TOL
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 1
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |