Liga MX Finals - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 4-6
Atlas FC vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
PUM
4 - 3
ATS
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2004 |
ATS
3 - 3
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 1
ATS
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ATS
1 - 1
AME
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
DOR
0 - 1
ATS
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
PUM
4 - 3
ATS
61%
21%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
VER
1 - 1
PUM
35%
24%
40%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2004 |
PUM
3 - 0
VER
79%
13%
9%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
PUM
1 - 5
CHI
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 0
PUM
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |