Atlas FC vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
ATL
2 - 3
ATS
42%
25%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
ATS
3 - 3
SAN
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
ATS
0 - 1
EST
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 3
ATS
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
ATS
1 - 5
TOR
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 2
AUR
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
TIG
1 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
MOR
3 - 0
CFC
58%
21%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
PAC
1 - 0
MOR
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2001 |
MOR
3 - 0
TRU
57%
22%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |