FC Alverca II vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
10º
4º
32
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
UFT
1 - 0
FCA
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 1
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 2
MOR
44%
21%
35%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
USA
3 - 1
FCA
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
FCA
52%
25%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GDF
0 - 0
MOR
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
GDF
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
GDF
0 - 2
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GDF
1 - 1
MAR
31%
28%
41%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
GDF
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |