Alsterbruder vs Süderelbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
50.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
17º
17º
44
8º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alsterbruder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SAS
1 - 1
ATB
85%
9%
6%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ATB
1 - 4
EIM
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 2
ATB
74%
14%
12%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ATB
2 - 4
VOW
27%
20%
53%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ATB
1 - 5
VHG
21%
18%
62%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 3
THA
60%
18%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NIE
0 - 0
SUD
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 3
HEB
54%
20%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALT
4 - 0
SUD
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
SUD
3 - 1
WIL
57%
18%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |