Aarau vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 1
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
FCA
67%
18%
15%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
WOH
1 - 1
FCA
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 1
WIL
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SER
1 - 1
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
YOB
3 - 2
CHI
86%
10%
4%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 1
CHI
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
LUG
5 - 1
CHI
73%
17%
9%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |