Aarau vs Biel-Bienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
FCA
0 - 1
KRI
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2010 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCA
65%
20%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 3
DEL
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
BIE
7 - 1
FCA
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2010 |
FCA
0 - 0
SER
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Biel-Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
KRI
3 - 1
BIE
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
BIE
2 - 2
FCL
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
YVE
0 - 2
BIE
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
BIE
7 - 1
FCA
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
LOC
2 - 2
BIE
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |