Aarau vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
BIE
5 - 1
FCA
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
5 - 3
WOH
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
FCA
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 2
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 3
FCA
36%
26%
39%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 5
WIN
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 2
BEL
21%
25%
55%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCV
55%
23%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 1
BEL
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 2
BIE
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |