Amazonense Second Round Semi-finals
Global 4-5
Fast Clube vs Princesa Solimões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
PRI
2 - 0
FAS
37%
26%
38%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
FAS
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FAS
1 - 1
SAO
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FAS
0 - 5
PEN
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
IRA
1 - 4
FAS
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Princesa Solimões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
PRI
2 - 0
FAS
37%
26%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 0
PRI
51%
24%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
PRI
1 - 0
PEN
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SUL
0 - 4
PRI
32%
23%
46%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PRI
1 - 0
NAC
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |