FAS vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
FAS
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
FAS
0 - 1
CDP
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
FAS
2 - 2
FOR
28%
24%
48%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
MUN
0 - 3
FAS
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
FAS
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
FIR
2 - 2
ONC
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 2
FIR
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 2
FIR
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
FIR
3 - 2
CDP
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
MUN
1 - 1
FIR
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |