FAS vs CD Arcense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
FAS
0 - 1
AGU
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
SAL
1 - 2
FAS
39%
26%
36%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
FAS
0 - 0
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
FIR
0 - 1
FAS
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
FAS
3 - 2
BAL
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
CD Arcense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CDA
1 - 3
MUN
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
AGU
2 - 1
CDA
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SAL
0 - 3
CDA
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
CDA
2 - 1
MET
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
FIR
1 - 0
CDA
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |