Farnborough vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
FOR
1 - 1
FAR
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
FAR
1 - 3
CAN
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
TAM
0 - 2
FAR
51%
23%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
FAR
2 - 1
EXE
33%
26%
42%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CUM
7 - 0
FAR
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
EXE
2 - 0
STE
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
STE
0 - 1
BUR
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
EBB
2 - 1
STE
55%
23%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
STE
2 - 0
TAM
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
HER
0 - 1
STE
65%
21%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |