Fano vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SSS
2 - 1
FAN
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
FAN
2 - 1
GIU
53%
24%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 1
FAN
69%
19%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FAN
0 - 0
CAS
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FAN
0 - 2
ANC
21%
25%
55%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -3 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
REC
1 - 2
SAN
70%
19%
12%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
OLY
0 - 2
REC
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
REC
2 - 0
FER
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GIU
2 - 1
REC
28%
28%
44%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GIU
1 - 2
REC
31%
29%
40%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |