Fano vs Civitanovese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
FAN
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
FAN
1 - 1
TER
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
FAN
1 - 1
ISE
58%
21%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 2
FAN
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FAN
0 - 0
REC
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CIV
1 - 1
REC
55%
26%
20%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GIU
1 - 1
CIV
44%
27%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CIV
0 - 1
ANC
18%
24%
58%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
CIV
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CIV
2 - 0
ASB
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |